Macro Trends

Gate Research Daily Report: Amid ongoing economic uncertainty, Bitcoin remains within a downward channel. Ethereum is attempting to stabilize in the short term but has yet to achieve a decisive breakout above its key resistance zone. As risk appetite improved, FAI, SIREN, and BOBA surged more than 125%, 83%, and 58%, respectively, over the past 24 hours. Claude experienced a widespread service outage, affecting thousands of users globally. Digital asset investment products recorded $1 billion in inflows last week, ending a five-week streak of outflows totaling $4 billion. While tensions in the Middle East have heightened short-term volatility, the long-term outlook remains intact, with some traders positioning for a potential rebound.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 4, the crypto market remained in a weak consolidation phase, with BTC and ETH trading in a narrow range after the previous pullback, while market sentiment stayed in the “extreme fear” zone. In this environment, capital has been rotating toward structural opportunities, with AI- and compute-related tokens such as PHA, AIXBT, and AKT showing relative strength, driven by narratives around confidential computing, technical rebound, and decentralized AI infrastructure. On the narrative side, AI and stablecoin infrastructure continue to draw attention. A recent study shows that 48.3% of AI decision scenarios selected Bitcoin as the preferred monetary instrument. Meanwhile, Circle launched the Nanopayments testnet, enabling ultra-small USDC payments and exploring AI agent–driven micropayment use cases. In addition, Gate introduced a TradFi trading API and adjustable leverage mechanism, further expanding its multi-asset programmatic trading infrastructure.

Gate Research: Over the past week, macro uncertainty has continued to dominate market pricing. Escalating tensions in the Middle East, tariff expectations, and the ongoing AI narrative have reinforced risk-off sentiment, with capital rotating into defensive assets such as oil, gold, and the Japanese yen, putting pressure on risk assets. BTC declined sharply over the weekend amid thin liquidity conditions, while ETH underperformed BTC overall, leaving the market in a fragile post-deleveraging equilibrium. On-chain data shows event-driven spikes in DEX trading volume, while stablecoin supply has remained elevated but flat, suggesting capital is largely in a wait-and-see mode. In derivatives markets, open interest continues to decline and funding rates remain negative but stable, indicating that overall leverage in the system has been significantly reduced. Meanwhile, mid-tier protocols such as Hyperliquid and Jupiter recorded revenue growth, pointing to a modest rebound in on-chain trading activity. Overall, th

Using the HIP-6 proposal as a starting point, this article comprehensively illustrates how Hyperliquid introduces a new issuance mechanism at the protocol level, combining a "continuous liquidation auction + automatic injection of HIP-2 liquidity." This mechanism allows new projects to complete fundraising, price discovery, and liquidity bootstrapping in one go on-chain, entirely hosted by HyperCore without the need for a CEX or third-party launchpad.

Crude oil prices in 2026 are shaped by a combination of factors such as Middle East conflicts, transportation risks in the Strait of Hormuz, and global economic cycles. Leveraging recent developments and institutional projections, this article provides an objective analysis of possible oil price movements and underlying risks.

PAXG (Pax Gold) is a tokenized asset backed by physical gold, issued by the fintech company Paxos and traded on the Ethereum blockchain as an ERC-20 token. The core concept is to tokenize physical gold on-chain, with each PAXG token representing ownership of a certain amount of gold. This structure enables investors to hold and trade gold in the form of a digital asset.

PAXG (Pax Gold) is a tokenized asset backed by physical gold reserves, launched by fintech firm Paxos and issued as an ERC-20 token on the Ethereum blockchain. The core concept is to digitally represent real-world gold assets, allowing investors to hold and trade gold via the blockchain network. Because each PAXG token corresponds to a specific quantity of physical gold, its price is theoretically expected to closely track the global gold market.

Global markets were notably driven by energy price shocks and geopolitical risks over the past week. Escalating tensions in the Middle East propelled oil prices upward, with WTI surging more than 25% for the week. As a result, the market entered a risk-off phase, prompting BTC, ETH, and US equities to pull back simultaneously. From a macro standpoint, although rising oil prices are unlikely to trigger a recession directly, they could elevate inflation and delay interest rate cuts in the coming months. On-chain activity saw DEX trading volumes remain high, with liquidity further concentrating in top protocols. The total stablecoin market cap climbed to around $330 billion, with USDC emerging as the main source of incremental capital. In the derivatives market, funding rates stayed predominantly negative and option volatility increased, reflecting continued vigilance toward tail risks. Overall, the market is navigating a stage of macro risk repricing and liquidity reallocation. Looking ahead to next week, atten

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 13, BTC reclaimed the $71,000 level, ETH climbed above $2,120, and GT continued to consolidate above $7.00. UAI and TURBO led the gainers. Meanwhile, Trump is set to hold another Mar-a-Lago lunch for token holders, while Royaltiz launched its first fully on-chain talent asset, highlighting growing attention on event-driven narratives and emerging tokenization models.

Over the past week, global markets have been primarily driven by energy shocks and geopolitical risks. WTI crude rose more than 4%, with higher oil prices reinforcing inflation expectations and further constraining the scope for rate cuts. The Dollar Index moved back above 100, while Treasury yields climbed in tandem. Risk assets broadly came under pressure, yet the crypto market showed notable resilience. Consecutive net inflows into BTC ETFs indicate continued institutional accumulation during the pullback. On-chain, stablecoin supply continued to expand, with liquidity increasingly concentrated in leading protocols. Lending and LST sectors also rebounded, reflecting a marginal recovery in risk appetite. In derivatives markets, funding rates remained largely negative while implied volatility declined, suggesting market sentiment is gradually recovering from extreme caution. Looking ahead, markets will focus on the upcoming Fed rate decision and policy signals from major central banks, which will directly sh

The sharp correction in gold prices results from the interplay of a stronger US dollar, changing interest rate expectations, and leveraged liquidations. This article offers an in-depth examination of the factors driving the recent slump in gold, shifts in capital structure, and projections for future market movements.

The article leverages data points such as the surge in oil prices due to the Strait of Hormuz crisis, inflation expectations, and central banks' 36,000-ton gold reserves to reveal the divergence between Bitcoin and gold in the early stages of the crisis.

In February, the overall crypto market showed a weak trend, with notable outflows from BTC ETFs. Major blockchains remained stable throughout the month, with Solana leading by a wide margin at over 100 million daily transactions. Ethereum recorded 13.34 million unique active addresses, maintaining its second-highest level in history. TradFi trading volume on Perp DEXs surged to $47.3 billion, largely driven by Hyperliquid’s HIP-3. The Web3 sector completed 46 funding rounds totaling $986 million, with the top 10 projects accounting for $793 million—three major deals were led by Tether. Meanwhile, Web3 security incidents declined significantly month-over-month, though smart contract vulnerabilities remained the primary risk source.

The text shifts the perspective from the Middle East to the global stage, systematically assessing the energy dependence, reserve life, and social/political tipping points of Japan, South Korea, India, Southeast Asia, Europe, the United States, and China.

This article analyzes the shift in VC strategy from being judgment-driven to being driven by the ability to win deals. It highlights how scaled institutions like a16z, leveraging massive capital, full-spectrum services, and economic moats, are enabling capital-intensive giants such as OpenAI and Anthropic to prevail.